Some month before the Russian invasion against Georgia in August 2008 Russian journalist Pavel Felgenhauer warned the World on coming Russian attack against Georgia. He was not believed, not in West and not in Tbilisi. Now Felgenhauer is warning us again. By the Bakillar.az newssite Felgenhauer is describing the plan moving around in Kreml to “finish the job” and remove Skahashvili from power. Failure to do this during the August-war has made Russia furiuos. Russia has not won sympathy in the World, he is still alone in its recognition of South-Ossetia’s and Abhkazia’s “Independence” and its authority is weakening in the region as Shakashvili is still there. Situation in occupied territories is deteriorating also. When Georgia has build houses for big part of refugees, then in South-Ossetia nothing is done. Kreml also needs “small and victorius” war to turn people’s attention away from worsening economic situation and to bolster its power. By Felgenhauer new campaigne starts from provocation against Russian peacekeepers where Georgia is accused. Kreml is then launching surprise attack against Tbilisi from two side – Tsinhvali and Akhalgori, opening the third front in West, attacking there Poti and Sukhumi from Abkhazia. Vaziani and Tbilisi airports are taken. Georgia is blocked from Sea and then Tbilisi will be conquered and Shakashvili would be removed from power, to be replaced by some kind of ”Salvation Commmitte”. Such of scenario can look unbelievible, but so was it before the August war. Only way to make it not happen is to be NOW – and not AFTERWARDS – very clear in this question with Kreml – make no war. When Kreml gets from West distorted signals, he thinks, that the new war would may-be not be so bad idea.