Some month before the Russian invasion against Georgia in August 2008 Russian journalist Pavel Felgenhauer warned the World on coming Russian attack against Georgia. He was not believed, not in West and not in Tbilisi. Now Felgenhauer is warning us again. By the Bakillar.az newssite Felgenhauer is describing the plan moving around in Kreml to “finish the job” and remove Skahashvili from power. Failure to do this during the August-war has made Russia furiuos. Russia has not won sympathy in the World, he is still alone in its recognition of South-Ossetia’s and Abhkazia’s “Independence” and its authority is weakening in the region as Shakashvili is still there. Situation in occupied territories is deteriorating also. When Georgia has build houses for big part of refugees, then in South-Ossetia nothing is done. Kreml also needs “small and victorius” war to turn people’s attention away from worsening economic situation and to bolster its power. By Felgenhauer new campaigne starts from provocation against Russian peacekeepers where Georgia is accused. Kreml is then launching surprise attack against Tbilisi from two side – Tsinhvali and Akhalgori, opening the third front in West, attacking there Poti and Sukhumi from Abkhazia. Vaziani and Tbilisi airports are taken. Georgia is blocked from Sea and then Tbilisi will be conquered and Shakashvili would be removed from power, to be replaced by some kind of ”Salvation Commmitte”. Such of scenario can look unbelievible, but so was it before the August war. Only way to make it not happen is to be NOW – and not AFTERWARDS – very clear in this question with Kreml – make no war. When Kreml gets from West distorted signals, he thinks, that the new war would may-be not be so bad idea.
The very first sentence of Mart Laar’s hackjob on a “Russian invasion of Georgia” is a lie. It is an incontrovertible fact that the Georgian hordes carried out unprovoked massacres against the defenseless people of the independent Republic of Ossetia in violation of the ceasefire. The purpose of this ridiculous article is not to seriously analyze politics but to distract people in Estonia and elsewhere from the economic misery they endure as a result of the actions of people like Laar.
Laar’s claim of the political consequences of the reaffirmation of the independence of Ossetia and Abkhazia is also inaccurate. Except for Washington’s fifth columnists in certain countries of east-central Europe, not a single country has condemned Russia’s campaign. Even the Italian Foreign Minister warned against the creation of an anti-Russia coalition.
I am surprised that journalist Pavel Felgenhaur has not been murdered or has “accidentally died” like so many other journalist in Russia have. I thank you Mr. Laar for bringing forth the truth of what is happening in Russia in regards to Georgia.
And for those whom don’t believe that Russia is full of propoganda and that any journalist who does report the truth suddenly dies, read “A Russian Diary” by Anna Politkovskaya. Unfortunately Anna was murdered but her book is a living legacy of the real Russia of this millenium.
Dear E.Gulian! Thank You for Your reply. It was really nice – only with small problem – it is having nothing to do with the real facts. There is a amount of facts even in Russian press on the start of the conflict and on action of “Peaceful” South-Ossetian leader bombing and destroying Georgian villages from heavy artillery from behind the russian peacekeepers positions. We can argue, has that been better for Georgia to let their peacekeepers and civilians to be killed or answer to the attack, but it is clear, that the Russian repsonse was out of evry limit, having the goal not to “save” South Ossetia but to get Shakashvili down and Georgia back under Russian influence. And that was the reason, why EU – first time after quite long time – had unity to demand Russia to stop the war. What was happily done. I do not think that it is a good idea to start it again.